Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions
The Kansas City Royals (35-22) will finish off a 4-game series against the Minnesota Twins (30-25) on Thursday and will try to salvage a split. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET at Target Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Royals vs. Twinsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 4-2
After winning 8 games in a row, the Royals dropped 3 straight before getting back in the win column 6-1 on Wednesday as a +122 underdog.
The Twins have still won 6 of their last 8 games and are 6 1/2 games behind Cleveland in the AL Central race.
Royals at Twins projected starters
RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Chris Paddack
Singer (4-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.
- Has allowed 1 ER or less in 8 of his 11 starts, including 5 of his last 6 outings
- March 31 vs. Twins: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1BB, 10 K in 11-0 victory
- In 4 road starts has a 3.60 ERA in 20 IP with a 20/9 K/BB and 3 HRs allowed
Paddack (4-2, 4.39 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 55 1/3 IP.
- Has a 3.07 ERA across 5 May starts, with a 29/4 K/BB in 29 1/3 IP
- He's been very good at home, posting a 2.73 ERA and 38/6 K/BB in 6 starts spanning 33 IP
- Has issued a total of just 6 walks in his last 8 starts (1.2 BB/9).
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Royals at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Royals at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Twins 3
Moneyline
The Royals are 8-3 in Singer's starts this season and he has performed at a very high level. They are 4-1 in his last 5 outings, during which time he has recorded a 30/6 K/BB in 27 1/3 IP.
The Royals sit 4 games ahead of the Twins in the standings and have a run differential of +81, compared to +2 for Minnesota. Look for the ROYALS +105 to come out on top in this game.
Run line/Against the spread
Singer has been excellent all season and both starting pitchers have been on a roll lately, which points to this being a close game throughout. Laying 2:1 odds on Kansas City keeping it within a run seems steep so it's probably best to PASS on the RL and look for value elsewhere.
Over/Under
These 2 pitchers have been doing a great job of holding opposing offenses in check. This has the makings of a pitchers' duel, as neither team is likely to have a big offensive day. A play on UNDER 8 (-115) looks like the way to go.
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