Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions
The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-30) and New York Mets (22-33) open a 4-game set at Citi Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Metsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Mets won 6-1 in 2023
New York is in free-fall mode after getting swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 10-3 loss Wednesday, failing to cash as a (+105) home underdog. It was the 8th defeat in 9 games for the Mets, and RHP Jorge Lopez vented his frustration by tossing his glove into the stands after getting ejected.
Arizona lost both games in the 2-game World Series rematch against the Texas Rangers, 4-2 on Tuesday and 6-1 on Wednesday. Over the last 30 days, Arizona is tied with the Washington Nationals at the bottom of the list for HRs (20), as well as 2nd-last in RBIs (87) and walks (66) in the National League.
Diamondbacks at Mets projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Christian Scott
Gallen (5-4, 3.12 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 57 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-0 setback to Miami Marlins Friday
- Sports career 3.60 ERA on the road (357 1/3 IP, 143 ER) in 63 starts vs. a 2.82 home ERA (367 2/3 IP, 115 ER) in 62 starts
Scott (0-2, 3.97 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 22 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-7 loss to San Francisco Giants Friday
- Has not been backed by his offense: His 2.38 run support/9 is 5th-lowest among 85 NL starting pitchers
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Diamondbacks at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -124 (bet $124 to win $100) | Mets +106 (bet $100 to win $106)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-182)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -104 | U: -118)
Diamondbacks at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Arizona 4, New York 2
Moneyline
BET ARIZONA (-124).
The Mets enter Thursday with the 3rd-lowest team OBP (.292) in MLB in May, and now 1B Pete Alonso's status is in question. The Mets slugger left the series finale vs. L.A. early on after getting plunked in his hand by LHP James Paxton, another blow to this floundering team that just saw its closer RHP Edwin Diaz go on the IL with shoulder impingement.
The Dbacks offense was lackluster Wednesday to say the least, but last year's NL Rookie of the Year CF Corbin Carroll delivered 3 hits, including a triple. If the 23-year-old can get on base a few times once again, he should be able to steal against Mets catchers, who allow the most opponent stolen bases per game in MLB.
Run line
PASS.
The Diamondbacks have dropped 4 of their last 5 games overall, so I would rather not chase the plus money in this case.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7 (-118).
Scott dominated in Triple-A to start 2024 and retired 12 straight in his MLB debut, generating 18 whiffs. He should be able to eat innings and limit any sort of damage done by Dbacks HR and hits leader 2B Ketel Marte, who is 0-20 in his last 5 games.
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